Several nominees in the category have already won this awards season, with Taylor taking the Globe, Mosaku winning the BAFTA, and Madigan landing SAG and Critics Choice. SAG (now known as The Actors Awards) tends to do well at picking the acting categories, so I’m giving Aunt Gladys the edge.

The reasons for Oscar slights are often as simple as an A-list actor being in a particularly competitive field. Other times, an upstart rushes in on the heels of a popular film an