Weather experts have something remarkable to celebrate right now. Our ability to predict conditions over the coming season has greatly advanced in just the past 20 years. The science behind seasonal ...

The WMO has urged governments, humanitarian agencies and climate-sensitive sectors to prepare now. Seasonal forecasts and early warning systems can help communities manage risks, protect livelihoods ...

The early warning of heatwaves using seasonal forecasting systems has the potential to mitigate economic losses and risk to life. Because of the limited reliability and computational expense of ...

The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) exhibits complex and variable behavior that challenges the reliability of seasonal forecasts. In this study, we develop an optimized multi-model ensemble (MME) ...